Why is only the spike in virus infections mentioned in news reports and not the exponential fall in the death rate indicating this virus?
The death rate for ordinary flu fluctuates wildly from year to year and not one word of concern appears in the papers other than ‘Get your flu shot’. Panic is never mentioned describing these events or that the government is somehow responsible.
- 4 weeks ago
if you believe covid is real you are drowning...quit sucking down force-fed drivel and wake up to the victory that can only be found in Jesus Christ.
- curtisports2Lv 74 weeks ago
Mr Septic Tank has it completely wrong.
Three weeks ago, October 12, in the US there were 38 million positive cases, 14,500 of them serious/critical, 220k deaths and the mortality rate was 2.5%
Three weeks later, as of the closing numbers for November 2, there were:
47.3 million positive cases. Up 9.3 million, or 24.5%
17,500 serious/critical, up 3,000, or 20.7%
237k deaths, up 17k or 7.7%
And the mortality rate is now at 2.5%, DOWN 7.5%.
As all of these new cases, and any more to follow, work their way through to a resolution, the mortality will continue to drop But in no way do any of the increases come anywhere near the description of 'exponential'.
Back in the spring, yeah, there was some 'exponential' going on. Both worldwide and in the US, total cases were doubling every couple of days and total deaths the same. As of the current numbers, cases in the US are now double what they were on August 24, 70 days ago. US deaths are double what they were on June 18, FOUR AND A HALF MONTHS AGO!!!!
And on June 18, the US mortality rate was 5.3%. That has fallen by 53%!!!!
This is the COMPLETE OPPOSITE of exponential, Mr Septic Tank!!!
Now, does this mean the problem is not still serious? Of course not. Numbers are up. Cases are up and that can be partially explained by more testing being done. But more testing being done does not explain an increase deaths.
This is where the media fails, and perhaps it's intentional. Digging deeper into the numbers - which I have been recording daily, here are the weekly US deaths and new cases rounded off to the nearest hundred, going back from yesterday, 11/2:
Week ending Deaths New cases
11/2 6,000 605,500
10/26 5,800 508,000
10/19 5,200 416,200
10/12 5,000 359,200
10/5 5,200 317,200
9/28 5,300 315,200
9/21 5,500 297,300
9/14 5,500 263,300
9/7 5,800 273,900
8/31 6,600 296,100
8/24 7,400 303,600
8/17 7,500 360,500
8/10 7,300 389,300
8/3 8,500 429,600
7/27 6,600 471,200
7/20 5,600 481,900
7/13 5,200 439,500
7/10 4,600 487,000
6/26 4,500 255,800
Looking at this, you can see that deaths are on the rise again, but at a much lower rate than new cases. In fact, you can see a sort of pattern emerging. A sharp rise in new cases from one week to the next is followed by a noticeable increase in deaths four weeks later. Look at the jump in cases from 6/26 to 7/10 and the corresponding jump in deaths from 7/27 to 8/3.
More recently, we are seeing a slower increase in deaths that corresponded with a slower increase in cases a month earlier (and as the new cases began to fall in August, to their low on 9/14, weekly deaths also fell, to their lowest on 10/12). We can then expect, with 600k new cases this last week, for their to be the highest weekly death total yet sometime around the first week in December. I think, with the mortality rate continuing to drop (as most cases will NOT be serious, and as treatments for the serious continue to improve) that this number could be in the 8,000 ballpark. It will be consistent with the numbers, but the media will NOT report it that way. They will scream 'WORST EVER!!!!!' When, actually, back in April and early May, when there WAS some exponential going on, average daily US deaths were close to 10,000, with some days topping 2,500.
Again, this is not to diminish the seriousness of this. We are now in the second wave that everyone expected there to be in the fall, when people came indoors more and schools reopened. And as COVID fatigue has set in and people are tired of being apart and staying home. What we are seeing is to be expected.
And what we are seeing from the leftist media is also to be expected. Never let a 'crisis' go to waste.
- LLv 51 month ago
Because the Democrats want everyone to focus on the 'spike' and NOT the survivors.
- Robin WLv 71 month ago
Try again, and use a complete sentence this time.
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- BuzzLv 41 month ago
Media love a crisis. As awful as that is.
- Dr. DLv 71 month ago
The COVID-19 virus is several times more virulent than any flu virus in recent history. It is responsible for over a million deaths over the world. It is a fact that if everyone wore their face masks properly it would save tens of thousands of lives, and we'd bring the pandemic under control.
Even though the death rate has dropped, it hasn't changed much in recent months. In fact, between 7,000 - 7,500 people die from this virus daily - about the same as the peak of the first wave.
With the holidays approaching there is a good likelihood that things could soon get much worse. So the media is trying to save lives.
- Mr ScepticLv 61 month ago
You didn’t go to maths class when exponential growth and decay were explained, did you?
The number of deaths is rising. Exponentially.
Covid is killing far more than common flu ever does.
- Anonymous1 month ago
Because it cost the US about 2.2 billion a week to keep so many covid suffers in hospital, no matter if you die or not.
- Jimmy CLv 71 month ago
There are three differences:
1. You can get a flu vaccination. You cannot get a covid vaccination.
3. Covid is ten times as deadly. Compare US numbers: 30,000 dead from flu each year. 300,000 dead from covid by the end of the year.
4. Covid is also about ten times more infectious than flu.